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#1 Jan-22-15 10:14PM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5527

Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

This will be for the "storm total" as will be reported by NWS-Sterling for Dulles Airport.  Predictions must be posted by 11 pm Friday, even though some type of precipitation may start as early as 6 pm Friday. Storm is expected to end Saturday afternoon................Hope I have not Jinxed this tongue .

So......I will go with 5.2" for now with the option to modify before the deadline tomorrow night.


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#2 Jan-22-15 10:40PM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 16641

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

No snow....until Saturday.


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#3 Jan-22-15 11:28PM

firemunkee
Patagonian Toothfish
From: Ashburn, VA
Registered: May-23-13
Posts: 1766

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

0.5"


Together we'll fight the long defeat.

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#4 Jan-23-15 9:57AM

bigjeffie
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Feb-24-09
Posts: 1456

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

No snow thru march of 2020

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#5 Jan-23-15 6:13PM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 16641

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

bigjeffie wrote:

No snow thru march of 2020

Wouldn't that be nice!


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#6 Jan-23-15 6:15PM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 16641

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

So....according to some, it is going to snow Friday, accumulate a little and then go back t snow until about 11pm on Saturday.

If it happens this way. are we adding up the 2 different day's totals or getting a total at the end of the 23-24 split event?


Time to go fishin' again!

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#7 Jan-23-15 6:27PM

firemunkee
Patagonian Toothfish
From: Ashburn, VA
Registered: May-23-13
Posts: 1766

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

Ernie wrote:

So....according to some, it is going to snow Friday, accumulate a little and then go back t snow until about 11pm on Saturday.

If it happens this way. are we adding up the 2 different day's totals or getting a total at the end of the 23-24 split event?

I was wondering the same thing. Great minds.


Together we'll fight the long defeat.

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#8 Jan-23-15 8:44PM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5527

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

Just like the thread title says...........It will start snowing in about an hour or so (Jan 23) and will end mid-day or sometime on Saturday (Jan 24).  The National Weather Service (NWS) will report the "Storm Total Snowfall" and the "24 Hour Snowfall" for Dulles Airport. 

We will predict the "Storm Total Snowfall". smile


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#9 Jan-23-15 10:00PM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 16641

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

Sounds too bureaucratic to me...I just want to know if the total will be at what is on the ground at a certain hour or what has fallen and melted as they recorded in time periods..

1.3"


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#10 Jan-23-15 10:01PM

bigjeffie
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Feb-24-09
Posts: 1456

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

Storm total= 0 (zero)

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#11 Jan-23-15 10:13PM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5527

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

Ernie wrote:

Sounds too bureaucratic to me...I just want to know if the total will be at what is on the ground at a certain hour or what has fallen and melted as they recorded in time periods..

1.3"

here is the link............ http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/events/snowmaps/


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#12 Jan-23-15 10:46PM

firemunkee
Patagonian Toothfish
From: Ashburn, VA
Registered: May-23-13
Posts: 1766

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

bigjeffie wrote:

Storm total= 0 (zero)

lol.

I will change my prediction to 0.9".


Together we'll fight the long defeat.

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#13 Jan-24-15 2:17AM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5527

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

downgrading to 0.8"


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#14 Jan-24-15 3:10AM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 16641

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

bigjeffie wrote:

Storm total= 0 (zero)

I agree with Jefff.....silly storm.  Heck, we got more a couple of days ago!


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#15 Jan-24-15 1:17PM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5527

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

I guess Ernie must decide as Administrator: 

Does a prediction of "Zero" inches count towards any measured amount as a tie-breaker, or does "Zero" mean no snow at all...........period.


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#16 Jan-24-15 1:24PM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 16641

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

lol Zero is the start of the number scale but maybe we should just say that anything less than an inch isn't even worth predicting....

Maybe Monday's storm will produce something.


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#17 Jan-24-15 1:49PM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5527

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

Not exactly a King Solomon decree lol ......or maybe it is wink .......so it appears that there may not be a winner this time with 0.3" measured so far at IAD.  They are still predicting some more snow this morning, so I'll wait until after lunchtime to see what the official final total will be.  I'll start a Sun/Mon prediction thread tomorrow.


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#18 Jan-24-15 7:46PM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 16641

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

I was surprised to see Goose Creek running pretty hard and chocolaty when I crossed it at Rt. 7 a bit ago.


Time to go fishin' again!

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#19 Jan-24-15 8:04PM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5527

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

Ernie wrote:

I was surprised to see Goose Creek running pretty hard and chocolaty when I crossed it at Rt. 7 a bit ago.

NWS reported over an inch of rain last night.............in addition to the 0.3" of snow.

No snow total winner this time since Ernie says that we must have at least an inch.  We will have better luck with the next storm coming up.............hopefully.


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#20 Jan-24-15 8:19PM

firemunkee
Patagonian Toothfish
From: Ashburn, VA
Registered: May-23-13
Posts: 1766

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

Ernie wrote:

I was surprised to see Goose Creek running pretty hard and chocolaty when I crossed it at Rt. 7 a bit ago.

I was pretty surprised too. I drove to MD and back and every stream/creek/water I passed over was chocolate. I thought about hitting some trout waters while in MD, good thing I didn't.


Together we'll fight the long defeat.

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#21 Jan-25-15 4:17PM

bigjeffie
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Feb-24-09
Posts: 1456

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

I was up  you around in York Pennsylvania Friday night.

let me tell you that storm was serious business there. large trucks were getting stuck all over the place problems on I 83

rear wheel drive vehicles were helpless.

I was driving my Ford Ranger rear wheel drive.
I reduced air pressure to about 24 pounds- I was barely able to make it out of there

Last edited by bigjeffie (Jan-25-15 4:19PM)

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#22 Jan-25-15 6:15PM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 16641

Re: Jan 23-24 Snow Total Prediction Thread!

bigjeffie wrote:

I was barely able to make it out of there

Glad you did!

I am supposed to fly to NY on Tuesday at noon.....might just have to stay home.

http://i275.photobucket.com/albums/jj320/Kiko13PB/Newest%20Kiko/Euro1-25-15_zpscwizic8l.jpg


Time to go fishin' again!

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